Conscious-Rally
0xf2d2d116d80cc04862cf45d76b60fdec4b34aafd
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
79
Open notional
$66.11
Total PnL
$-43.66
Realised
$0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$9.70
$4.70
- YES
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 6.9¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.81
$2.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.85
$-2.15
- YES
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.27
$1.27
- YES
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.80
$-0.20
- NO
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.77
$0.77
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
43 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.74
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 17, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.05May 17, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 48 million or more views on day 2?$1.05May 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?$1.02May 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Torino FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.02May 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 17, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 17, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$1.04May 17, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.04May 15, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.04May 15, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.00May 15, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.05May 15, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.05May 15, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haotong Li win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 15, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Collin Morikawa win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 15, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 15, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$1.08May 15, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.00May 14, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.04May 14, 18:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".