Orange-Smell
0xf2e2265be050f6ea30182c8a4c5431038c3cf659
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$5.78
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.98
$-0.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 16.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.80
$-0.02
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
6111 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
3899 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2355 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1358 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-679.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
777 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-388.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
555 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-277.50
- NO
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-04?
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-199.99
- HEAT
Magic vs. Heat
200 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-76.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.81Jun 2, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.98Jun 1, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$5.00Jun 1, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?$5.00Jun 1, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?$4.98May 23, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$2.22May 14, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$4.97May 13, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-29?$7.00May 13, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.6KOct 28, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$675.65Oct 28, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$3.35Oct 28, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$771.57Oct 28, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$5.93Oct 28, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.2KOct 28, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$277.50Oct 28, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$388.50Oct 28, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-29?$2.66Oct 28, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$3.1KOct 14, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.9KOct 14, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Oct 14, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $272.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 11:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".