Humble-Ebook
0xf327c5642aed3c7ecea928a47fa0954588e64761
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$83.28
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-165.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
69 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$69.27
$11.08
- NO
Epstein client list released by June 30?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.01
$4.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
940 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-873.82
- NO
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?
214 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-34.41
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
13 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.34
- NO
US bank failure by January 31?
12 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
10 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
9 shares @ 69.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$58.19Mar 7, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$10.75Mar 7, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$11.92Mar 7, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?$13.04Mar 7, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.99Jan 30, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$11.49Jan 30, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$10.37Jan 10, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.37Jan 10, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 7, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$10.00Jan 7, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?$10.42Jan 3, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 2?$10.42Jan 3, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$6.21Jan 2, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 2?$10.00Jan 2, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$10.00Jan 2, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by January 31?$11.00Jan 2, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 2, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 2, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$1.00Jan 2, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$0.41Jan 2, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $10.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 16:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.