Phony-Detainment
0xf32cc39c18301b14d40d1a8af2879110edcca343
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$28.45
Total PnL
$-181.21
Realised
$1.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 17.8¢·now 38.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.93
$6.93
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
44 shares @ 11.4¢·now 14.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.29
$1.29
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
19 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.1¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$4.69
$-0.17
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.18
$-0.82
- NO
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$5.04Jul 11, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 11, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.10Jul 11, 07:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$5.08Jul 9, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$1.93Jul 9, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.94Jul 9, 20:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 8?$1.05Jul 7, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.08Jul 7, 17:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.