Safe-Family
0xf3505345381358c2311ef9bc8096ace10165f3ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-889.75
Realised
$994.44
Win rate
70%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 76.7¢·now 75.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$756.06
$-10.27
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in July?
500 shares @ 82.8¢·now 96.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$484.25
$70.25
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 Week of July 27 2026?
550 shares @ 88.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$448.19
$-35.80
- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?
598 shares @ 51.4¢·now 53.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$321.06
$13.25
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of July?
300 shares @ 33.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$296.70
$197.70
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 end of July?
310 shares @ 10.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$267.89
$235.12
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 23.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$238.39
$-11.90
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 27 2026?
490 shares @ 33.2¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$196.00
$33.48
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $340 end of July?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$187.00
$169.00
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
500 shares @ 47.4¢·now 36.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$182.50
$-54.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of July 27 2026?$25.41Jul 29, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of July 27 2026?$0.26Jul 29, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July?$49.00Jul 29, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July?$1.00Jul 29, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 27 2026?$6.78Jul 29, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 27 2026?$24.65Jul 29, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?$34.61Jul 29, 05:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.51Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July?$9.99Jul 28, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of July 27 2026?$0.32Jul 28, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 27 2026?$20.72Jul 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 27 2026?$21.42Jul 28, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?$244.88Jul 28, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?$57.13Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 27 2026?$36.39Jul 28, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 27 2026?$20.16Jul 28, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?$29.82Jul 28, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 27 2026?$0.88Jul 28, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July?$245.00Jul 28, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 27 2026?$7.94Jul 28, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $67.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.