Red-Washer
0xf375e1a511a70b89b5452270adde8b8bc85560f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$9.03
Total PnL
$-7.73
Realised
$-0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.45
$0.01
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.26
$0.26
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.20
$-0.80
- NO
Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Breece Hall be traded to the Chicago Bears?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
White girlfriend who shot Black bf guilty?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$319.04Nov 6, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.00Nov 5, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$322.80Nov 5, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roofman win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$343.24Nov 5, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roofman win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$344.10Nov 5, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Breece Hall be traded to the Chicago Bears?$4.00Nov 5, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?$2.12Nov 5, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.35Nov 5, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?$1.06Nov 5, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?$1.02Nov 5, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?$1.00Sep 23, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?$2.00Sep 23, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?$1.00Sep 23, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?$1.00Sep 23, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$1.30Sep 23, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.75Sep 23, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$2.00Jul 4, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$1.00Jul 4, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.00Jul 4, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $44.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 07:29 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.