0xf397306ee3fbdb954f887067ec168ee74f3e2354
0xf397306ee3fbdb954f887067ec168ee74f3e2354
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$434.56
Total PnL
$9.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
410 shares @ 13.7¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.27
$-6.15
- YES
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33 shares @ 61.2¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.14
$1.07
- YES
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 82.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$18.23
$3.23
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
204 shares @ 7.4¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$18.02
$3.02
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42 shares @ 23.8¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.14
$6.14
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
17 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.03
$2.49
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
13 shares @ 76.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$13.07
$3.07
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.63
$2.63
- NO
Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.99
$0.99
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$10.20
$5.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.07Jul 2, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$5.14Jul 2, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Quentin Halys vs Marcos Giron$5.04Jul 2, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.04Jul 2, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$2.07Jul 2, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$5.05Jul 2, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.11Jul 2, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$5.10Jul 2, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$5.09Jul 2, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$10.12Jul 2, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.10Jul 2, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12Jul 2, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First Half$5.05Jul 2, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$5.07Jul 2, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$5.06Jul 2, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$5.11Jul 2, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?$5.16Jul 2, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$5.04Jul 2, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$5.05Jul 2, 13:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.