Fine-Diaper
0xf42890eb08c593c9c8c6b7367d576de81e749f49
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$54.67
Total PnL
$-50.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
26 shares @ 58.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.72
$2.72
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
32 shares @ 47.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$14.20
$-0.80
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
27 shares @ 36.9¢·now 36.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
325 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end before October 15?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-9.78
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.25May 16, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.14May 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$15.25May 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$4.54May 14, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$15.32May 13, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$14.43May 13, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$20.71May 13, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.05May 13, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$3.36May 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$3.08May 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 13, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$2.06May 13, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$3.10May 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$6.73May 13, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$3.13May 13, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$4.78May 13, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$3.08May 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.72May 12, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$4.94May 12, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$6.11May 12, 02:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 03:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".