Expensive-Hubcap
0xf434e8aee8c7f83ed0d7e36f281383ee1d99c6aa
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$19.5K
Total PnL
$-9.4K
Realised
$-293.72
Win rate
69%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
2458 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.5K
$7.82
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
2337 shares @ 88.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.2K
$82.77
- NO
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?
1566 shares @ 93.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.5K
$72.38
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
1251 shares @ 95.1¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.2K
$25.29
- NO
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
1017 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.0K
$6.52
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
820 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$802.37
$-1.22
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
957 shares @ 81.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$789.35
$9.96
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
788 shares @ 95.2¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$763.60
$13.04
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
768 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$747.12
$9.45
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
747 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$744.68
$37.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?$110.334h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 4m?$10.954h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 4m?$8.965h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?$122.395h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?$41.625h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?$22.705h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m?$73.635h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$171.495h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$6.095h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$48.035h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$121.997h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?$14.938h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?$25.799h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$41.809h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$130.419h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$144.259h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$144.409h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$5.039h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$20.289h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?$10.359h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $70.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 20h ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".