Polished-Pecan
0xf44555cbbc18a7675c52930e1ef65d12e1670828
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$316.31
Total PnL
$-960.45
Realised
$21.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$129.35
$29.35
- KNICKS
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
192 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$97.12
$-2.88
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
168 shares @ 29.8¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$89.85
$39.85
- YES
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31?
1309 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-151.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
815 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
500 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-121.16
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
313 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UCLA BRUINS
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)
207 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-99.56
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
205 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-96.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-6.5)$101.44Jun 4, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$102.59Jun 4, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$146.43Jun 4, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$75.68Jun 4, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$28.53Jun 1, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$150.00Jun 1, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$169.49May 31, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$30.40May 30, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$101.23May 30, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$137.32May 30, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$51.05May 26, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Spurs$53.63May 21, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$60.79May 12, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 27, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$100.00Apr 27, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$241.48Apr 27, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$10.00Apr 22, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$200.00Apr 22, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)$100.00Mar 23, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Huskies vs. UCLA Bruins$0.00Feb 16, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $89.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 04:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".