0xf45acc9a73afce12686dcdaef8d5d504116e5343
0xf45acc9a73afce12686dcdaef8d5d504116e5343
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$24.38
Total PnL
$-91.94
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.17
$2.22
- NO
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.36
$0.01
- NO
Will Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.36
$0.01
- NO
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.04
$0.01
- NO
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
1 shares @ 86.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$1.45
$0.20
- ANDREA PELLEGRINO
Murcia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pablo Carreno Busta
1159 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- VILIUS GAUBAS
Murcia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Vilius Gaubas
1150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 17?
1030 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
268 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
Will BNK FEARX win First Stand 2026?
236 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$1.45Mar 24, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$2.63Mar 24, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$2.67Mar 23, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Peña win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$2.49Mar 23, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.99Mar 23, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.97Mar 23, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.13Mar 23, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.18Mar 23, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?$1.40Mar 23, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$1.80Mar 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?$1.75Mar 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$1.88Mar 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$2.09Mar 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?$2.65Mar 23, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$2.48Mar 23, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?$1.84Mar 23, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?$2.17Mar 23, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.80Mar 23, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?$3.51Mar 23, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?$3.41Mar 23, 21:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 10:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".