0xf463b2fb1d08083e787dbe860b1c7f6cacce4cc1
0xf463b2fb1d08083e787dbe860b1c7f6cacce4cc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$53.12
Total PnL
$-492.04
Realised
$-224.19
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
48 shares @ 39.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$48.08
$29.21
- YES
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$5.00
$2.35
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.04
$-1.21
- NO
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- NO
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-02?
437 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-31.17
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
173 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-64.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 1?
167 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-59.36
- YES
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-56.06
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?
75 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
49 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-36.77
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$2.55Apr 25, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$2.60Apr 25, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$36.00Apr 18, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$36.50Apr 18, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?$0.00Apr 14, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$0.00Apr 14, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?$0.00Apr 14, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$0.00Apr 14, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$0.00Apr 14, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?$0.00Apr 14, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$0.00Apr 14, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?$0.00Apr 14, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$0.00Apr 14, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?$0.00Apr 14, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$0.00Apr 14, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?$0.00Apr 14, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$0.00Apr 14, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?$0.00Apr 14, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$0.00Apr 14, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?$0.00Apr 14, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $20.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 01:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 03:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".