Demanding-Means
0xf4764fd6c9f6221fc82039926ef8556845d3fff8
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$20.73
Total PnL
$-5.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- MAGIC
Suns vs. Magic
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.86
$0.87
- PISTONS
Timberwolves vs. Pistons
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$1.83
$0.84
- HORNETS
Spread: Hornets (-15.5)
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- NUGGETS
Spurs vs. Nuggets
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$1.76
$0.78
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Clippers
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$1.67
$0.69
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- HORNETS
Suns vs. Hornets
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$1.65
$0.66
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- 76ERS
Timberwolves vs. 76ers
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$1.46
$0.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Nuggets$1.00Mar 31, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. 76ers$1.00Mar 31, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Clippers$1.00Mar 31, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Hornets$1.00Mar 31, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Pistons$1.00Mar 31, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Bulls$1.00Mar 31, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Clippers (-5.5)$1.00Mar 31, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hornets (-15.5)$1.00Mar 31, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Magic$1.00Mar 31, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 31, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 15 - 21)$1.25Mar 31, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$1.61Mar 31, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?$1.79Mar 31, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?$1.85Mar 31, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?$2.13Mar 31, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$2.13Mar 31, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.17Mar 31, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 14, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Jan 14, 10:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 05:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.