0xf49510aa577f4f09d74ca890fae59ff4741501fc
0xf49510aa577f4f09d74ca890fae59ff4741501fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$508.39
Total PnL
$316.68
Realised
$52.06
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
103 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$102.86
$88.46
- NO
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?
73 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$73.02
$46.73
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
72 shares @ 37.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$71.89
$44.66
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?
61 shares @ 39.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$61.04
$36.76
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
187 shares @ 22.4¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$45.78
$3.88
- YES
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?
40 shares @ 42.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$40.48
$23.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 36.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$27.94
$17.82
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
27 shares @ 40.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$26.70
$15.78
- YES
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
17 shares @ 41.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$17.21
$10.04
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 91.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$11.38
$0.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 30?$0.00Apr 1, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win on 2026-03-31?$0.00Apr 1, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win on 2026-03-31?$0.00Apr 1, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 30?$0.00Apr 1, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win on 2026-03-31?$0.00Apr 1, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWizards vs. Lakers$0.00Apr 1, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus win on 2026-03-30?$0.00Apr 1, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 30?$0.00Apr 1, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win on 2026-03-31?$0.00Apr 1, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWizards vs. Lakers$1.82Apr 1, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus win on 2026-03-30?$0.00Apr 1, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 30?$0.00Apr 1, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win on 2026-03-31?$0.00Apr 1, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5$0.00Apr 1, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5$2.09Apr 1, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5$2.09Apr 1, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Heat$0.00Apr 1, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5$2.13Apr 1, 01:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 08:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 03:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.