Scared-Garb
0xf4baccff188321440a1ed01a5d5fd89c3e1f5933
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$46.0K
Total PnL
$-48.5K
Realised
$4.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
27219 shares @ 64.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.0K
$9.6K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
64872 shares @ 16.1¢·now 25.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$16.4K
$6.0K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
6088 shares @ 32.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$-524.29
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
1403 shares @ 65.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$1.1K
$217.49
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
197249 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.2K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
187185 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
80304 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
36000 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-14.4K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
30000 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.3K
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
11246 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.26Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$7.36Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$282.00Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$286.00Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$252.72Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$290.00Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$290.96Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- REWARD$0.41Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$11.35Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$15.00Jun 12, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.2KJun 12, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.2KJun 12, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.1KJun 12, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.2KJun 12, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.04Jun 12, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.34Jun 12, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$34.95Jun 12, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$290.00Jun 12, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.1KJun 4, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.0KJun 2, 17:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $504.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 05:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.