Our-Octagon
0xf4cf8ab1522664b7f7e0688b95425843bf0a1f03
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$106.84
Total PnL
$-104.98
Realised
$1.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$20.00
$17.00
- SEA
Big Game: First Team To Score
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$20.00
$10.00
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.52
$3.52
- NO
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$13.16
$8.16
- NO
Big Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- HEADS
Big Game: Coin Toss
10 shares @ 50.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$9.98
$4.98
- NO
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
10 shares @ 51.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$9.75
$4.75
- NO
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- EVEN
Big Game: Odd/Even Total Points
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$4.26
$2.26
- YES
Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
1128 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?$14.84Feb 9, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$0.03Feb 9, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$1.81Feb 9, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$1.48Feb 9, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$11.48Feb 9, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$3.00Feb 9, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$14.30Feb 9, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$5.00Feb 9, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$3.86Feb 9, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$1.00Feb 9, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$3.00Feb 8, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBig Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds$0.06Feb 8, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds$1.00Feb 8, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: Coin Toss$5.00Feb 8, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: Odd/Even Total Points$2.00Feb 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?$3.00Feb 8, 21:08 UTC
- SPLITBig Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?$10.00Feb 8, 20:55 UTC
- SPLITBig Game: First Team To Score$20.00Feb 8, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?$3.00Feb 8, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$5.00Feb 8, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".