Stable-Armament
0xf5592765133941c40c77e52bc56bbe7ec167f462
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
163
Open notional
$91.8K
Total PnL
$-967.1K
Realised
$17.4K
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
55754 shares @ 71.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.8K
$3.8K
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
11878 shares @ 84.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$11.9K
$1.9K
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
14287 shares @ 80.6¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$11.1K
$-378.12
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
9169 shares @ 54.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.7K
$3.7K
- YES
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
7740 shares @ 64.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$7.7K
$2.7K
- NO
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
7105 shares @ 77.9¢·now 77.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$5.5K
$-26.44
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
5000 shares @ 38.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.1K
$1.3K
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
163150 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.0K
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
155924 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.9K
- NO
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
45674 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-26.7K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$14.1KJul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$88.40Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$5.25Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants$23.3KJul 26, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$6.9KJul 26, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants$20.1KJul 26, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants$68.16Jul 26, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$14.7KJul 26, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$5.6KJul 26, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$5.1KJul 26, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner$10.1KJul 26, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)$16.2KJul 26, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$11.6KJul 26, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$6.1KJul 26, 10:26 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$345.64Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.50Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$25.3KJul 25, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$10.2KJul 25, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)$5.7KJul 25, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)$3.5KJul 25, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$126.4K
Trades
3
Buy share
93%
Window
May 18, 17:00 UTC → Jul 11, 09:12 UTC
- BUYBelgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5$5.2K@69¢Jun 21, 18:29 UTC
- BUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$10.0K@58¢Jun 16, 19:13 UTC
- BUYSpread: Spurs (-5.5)$10.0K@50¢Jun 13, 23:11 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
93%
Sample
medium
12 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
$20.0K · 16% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 17:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.