Physical-Bowling
0xf55a39e14ae91842f87d7a366714290fa488f8f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$30.06
Total PnL
$-23.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 1.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.08
$2.08
- NO
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.24
$1.74
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
65 shares @ 9.2¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.20
$3.20
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.74
$-0.76
- NO
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$1.48
$-0.52
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
2 shares @ 52.3¢·now 73.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
85 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.40
$-0.85
- YES
Will Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.39
$0.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?$3.33Jul 1, 08:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.80Jun 30, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.01Jun 30, 03:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$1.01Jun 23, 05:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$1.45Jun 22, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)$1.15Jun 21, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.