0xf58b9908a55a3d73b5bfd870dc71b795cff538b2
0xf58b9908a55a3d73b5bfd870dc71b795cff538b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-221.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16689 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$392.20
$-61.95
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2719 shares @ 20.1¢·now 12.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$341.24
$-204.76
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
406 shares @ 64.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$225.47
$-34.53
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
443 shares @ 33.8¢·now 40.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$181.44
$31.44
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
234 shares @ 44.9¢·now 61.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$142.49
$37.59
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3187 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$84.45
$24.45
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
113 shares @ 56.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$68.22
$5.07
- YES
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
350 shares @ 5.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$26.07
$5.77
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
134 shares @ 11.2¢·now 18.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$25.11
$10.11
- YES
Will Jalen Brunson be on the cover of NBA 2K27?
134 shares @ 38.0¢·now 11.9¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$15.97
$-34.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBaltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 AND Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$44.36Jul 22, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.86Jul 22, 02:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 AND Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$14.99Jul 21, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$15.67Jul 21, 01:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$154.96Jul 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson be on the cover of NBA 2K27?$5.93Jul 20, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$28.76Jul 20, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$41.46Jul 20, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$487.80Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$73.98Jul 19, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.1KJul 19, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $107.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 22:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.