0xf58b9908a55a3d73b5bfd870dc71b795cff538b2
0xf58b9908a55a3d73b5bfd870dc71b795cff538b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-284.59
Realised
$61.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
1087 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.0K
$5.44
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?
1032 shares @ 96.9¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$986.47
$-13.53
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2719 shares @ 20.1¢·now 15.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$428.25
$-117.75
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16689 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$383.86
$-70.30
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
238 shares @ 21.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$169.05
$119.05
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3187 shares @ 1.9¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$97.20
$37.20
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$86.84
$-13.15
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
488 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$79.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
447 shares @ 17.9¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$76.20
$-3.80
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$52.78
$-47.22
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$50.96Jun 2, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?$1.0KJun 2, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$109.53Jun 2, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$23.60Jun 2, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.40Jun 2, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$5.00Jun 2, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$103.16Jun 2, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.0KJun 2, 04:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$83.74Jun 1, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$22.85Jun 1, 19:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$40.77May 31, 00:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 31, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$92.31May 30, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$60.63May 30, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$51.13May 30, 16:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 30, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $131.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".