Amusing-Owl
0xf5b1c361da753f9b51a440a257b9e952c5338474
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$9.49
Total PnL
$-510.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.3¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- YES
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9AM ET
350 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$1.00Jun 1, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.00Jun 1, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 1, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 1, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$1.05Jun 1, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?$2.02Jun 1, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$2.13Jun 1, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?$3.02Jun 1, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.82Jun 1, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET$5.95Jun 1, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?$2.00May 18, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 18, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.01May 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET$5.06May 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$2.00May 3, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?$3.00May 3, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.03May 3, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.17May 3, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.43May 3, 15:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $26.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 16:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".