Worthy-Going
0xf5cfe6f998d597085e366f915b140e82e0869fc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$9.6K
Total PnL
$105.8K
Realised
$133.8K
Win rate
75%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
7910 shares @ 41.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.2K
$3.9K
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1074 shares @ 63.6¢·now 80.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$866.18
$182.68
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3205 shares @ 89.2¢·now 17.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$550.87
$-2.3K
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
697 shares @ 80.9¢·now 76.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$530.99
$-33.18
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
378 shares @ 82.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$365.90
$55.94
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2172 shares @ 16.4¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.59
$-286.30
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
110 shares @ 51.6¢·now 36.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$40.33
$-16.73
- YES
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
4385 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.73
$-238.43
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5191 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.79
$-497.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.93
$0.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.