Recent-Fog
0xf5d1d070865cfac18c29aa9fc12eda659b9767cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$-4.4K
Win rate
18%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
400 shares @ 69.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$397.00
$119.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
599 shares @ 40.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$266.61
$26.96
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
255 shares @ 81.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$217.68
$10.73
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$199.52
$-100.51
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
400 shares @ 40.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$178.00
$18.00
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
200 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$165.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
200 shares @ 59.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$165.00
$46.71
- YES
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
301 shares @ 50.3¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.89
$-35.61
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
400 shares @ 41.6¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.05
$-68.49
- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
100 shares @ 76.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$95.68
$19.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$119.09Jun 4, 08:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 26, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $132.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.