0xf5df9e076007ad220123c8ea69d50c8639246fa6
0xf5df9e076007ad220123c8ea69d50c8639246fa6
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.05
Total PnL
$-34.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on May 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- RICO
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
274 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on May 11?
85 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$8.22May 23, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$16.43May 22, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 10, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on May 11?$1.05May 10, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on May 10?$1.05May 10, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?$1.03May 10, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 10, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$5.25May 10, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 9, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00May 9, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 9, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 9, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 9, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$1.02May 9, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 9, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 18:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.