Useless-Smoking
0xf6099a9eacfef24a4161bd857fbfbcd36cdfe68b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$175.54
Realised
$124.00
Win rate
73%
96 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
489 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$485.18
$240.51
- YES
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?
193 shares @ 81.1¢·now 85.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$165.36
$9.16
- NO
Will Germany win the World Cup?
164 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$154.16
$3.28
- NO
Will Croatia be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
139 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$133.09
$2.43
- NO
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
149 shares @ 86.7¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$128.14
$-0.98
- NO
Will Croatia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
162 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$127.98
$-1.62
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
126 shares @ 93.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$116.52
$-1.70
- UNDER
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
235 shares @ 46.7¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$112.80
$3.11
- NO
Will Algeria be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
121 shares @ 86.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$105.88
$0.95
- NO
Will New Zealand be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
106 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$97.52
$2.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$9.54Jun 13, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$2.34Jun 13, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.66Jun 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$27.69Jun 13, 06:41 UTC
- MERGEWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$64.53Jun 13, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the World Cup?$63.11Jun 13, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.42Jun 13, 05:44 UTC
- MERGEWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$119.61Jun 13, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$41.71Jun 13, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.67Jun 13, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$57.95Jun 13, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.28Jun 13, 05:38 UTC
- MERGEWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$79.13Jun 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.74Jun 13, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$64.38Jun 13, 05:28 UTC
- SPLITWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$77.56Jun 13, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$18.46Jun 13, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.20Jun 13, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.27Jun 13, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$13.67Jun 13, 05:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $14.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 04:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 96 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.