Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.2pp
24h Vol
$290.00
Liquidity
$846.60
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6017.7h
- 11:20SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6018h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 4¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 4¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 4¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 4¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 4¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 4¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 4¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 4¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 4¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 4¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 4¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 4¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.4pp
to 6¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 7¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
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Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 14¢0.0pp
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 4¢-2.2pp
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?
Business · Vol $30.00
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point. This market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).