Outlandish-Skunk
0xf61a2e7aee788d72d34636d780d14c2482be7581
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$7.39
Total PnL
$-8.13
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.11
$-0.01
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$-0.00
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- NO
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.06
$-0.00
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 4?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 85.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.92
$-0.15
- YES
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.75 in October?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-0.75
- NO
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-0.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?$3.67Jun 25, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?$4.80Jun 25, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?$4.97Jun 25, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?$6.06Jun 25, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?$5.99Jun 25, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?$7.00Jun 25, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$7.01Jun 25, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$8.10Jun 25, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.06Jun 25, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?$1.00Jun 25, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$1.01Jun 25, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 4?$7.22Jun 25, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 4?$8.30Jun 25, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 11?$1.00May 25, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?$1.01May 25, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 12?$1.01May 25, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$1.05May 25, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?$1.05May 25, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.07May 25, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMT20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Malaysia$1.08May 25, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 04:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.