0xf6208214ae740952f4bd8b6866b3e80f275ecd42
0xf6208214ae740952f4bd8b6866b3e80f275ecd42
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$40.10
Total PnL
$-150.80
Realised
$-1.61
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
120 shares @ 25.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.60
$-5.40
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.50
$-9.50
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
319 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
94 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by March 31?
85 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
79 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
71 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$32.56May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$2.23May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$0.11May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$5.44May 16, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.85May 16, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$6.42May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.38May 16, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.41May 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$30.00May 4, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$17.77Apr 7, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$15.62Apr 1, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$14.50Mar 30, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$14.63Mar 30, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by March 31?$25.00Mar 28, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$25.00Mar 28, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UK strike Iran by March 31?$0.52Mar 28, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$0.41Mar 28, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.04Mar 28, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Mar 28, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthis successfully target shipping by April 15?$20.00Mar 28, 04:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $22.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.