Superficial-Soot
0xf64658a9d35eda0387d6df305062d4b18474b745
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$26.35
Total PnL
$-86.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.31
$-0.69
- NO
Will Trump say "Camera" this week?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$3.77
$-1.23
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
27 shares @ 18.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.32
$-1.68
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
43 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
28 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
23 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Camera" this week?$5.08May 17, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week?$5.16May 17, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" this week?$5.07May 17, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$5.12May 17, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$8.94May 17, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$18.82May 17, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$11.14May 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$5.11May 16, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$16.34May 16, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$15.15May 16, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.42May 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$12.36May 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.99May 14, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.22May 14, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5.00May 13, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$15.00May 13, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$15.25May 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$35.77May 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 9, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$9.92May 9, 22:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 04:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".