0xf65cc9fd84124b32b151e4036d8b0622d0f1707e
0xf65cc9fd84124b32b151e4036d8b0622d0f1707e
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-64.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
6390 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET
2640 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.59
- YES
Syria leading at halftime?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5AM ET
518 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.94
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
258 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
184 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.96
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2AM ET
99 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.95
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
57 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 10, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 9, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSyria leading at halftime?$1.03Jun 9, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$6.39Jun 6, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.02May 25, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.03May 25, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.01May 25, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET$4.23May 5, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET$5.34May 4, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.17May 4, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$1.07May 4, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$1.07May 4, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$5.02May 4, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET$4.18May 4, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET$4.86May 4, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 2, 12AM ET$6.52May 2, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on May 2?$1.06May 2, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 2, 12AM ET$4.85May 2, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 1?$1.06May 1, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2AM ET$9.54Apr 30, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 01:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.