Complete-Selection
0xf68f2b00fffbd3f0457843d29d84e786668e797b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$41.56
Total PnL
$-43.24
Realised
$1.58
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
48 shares @ 62.7¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.20
$-6.80
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
25 shares @ 78.6¢·now 71.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$18.19
$-1.81
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
13 shares @ 76.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.16
$-9.84
- NO
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
5 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
5 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.09May 15, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$30.00May 15, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.68May 15, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$20.17May 15, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$20.00May 15, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.95Apr 21, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 21, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$2.33Apr 21, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$1.32Apr 21, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$3.70Apr 21, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$3.75Apr 21, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$3.85Apr 21, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$3.60Apr 21, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$3.85Apr 21, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$4.15Apr 21, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$4.20Apr 21, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$4.20Apr 21, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.85Apr 21, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.95Apr 21, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$2.10Apr 21, 03:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".