Demanding-Pile
0xf6d1edf992fbcccd81975ce57feb931b948a32b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$17.7K
Total PnL
$941.80
Realised
$88.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5000 shares @ 93.2¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$120.00
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
4091 shares @ 90.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$244.79
- NO
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
2000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.9K
$27.00
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
2000 shares @ 76.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$320.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 88.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.8K
$60.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
2200 shares @ 52.4¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$-76.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$964.50
$74.50
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
920 shares @ 75.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$750.16
$60.25
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
500 shares @ 71.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$375.00
$20.00
- NO
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?
160 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$154.06
$4.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.37Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.