Ornery-Leek
0xf6d47143c7e2b42a80af50eef4df46499f4963eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
108
Open notional
$56.08
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$5.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 76.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.99
$2.32
- NO
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.99
$0.02
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.99
$0.24
- NO
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.88
$0.78
- NO
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.36
$0.36
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 97.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.67
$0.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.02May 29, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$1.00May 29, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.00May 29, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$1.49May 29, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$2.82May 29, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.01May 22, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.01May 22, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$2.00May 22, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$1.01May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$2.01May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$2.00May 9, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00May 9, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.00May 9, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 1?$1.14May 9, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.00May 9, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana divorced?$1.01May 1, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 1?$1.01May 1, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$1.01May 1, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.01May 1, 08:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 01:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".