Burdensome-Resistance
0xf709b8fd018204723e495363b7a8b42753ef7697
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$175.45
Total PnL
$-527.96
Realised
$-14.99
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-16?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$21.52
$1.52
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
27 shares @ 69.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$20.07
$1.65
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
26 shares @ 76.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$19.87
$-0.13
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.70
$-0.30
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$19.67
$-0.33
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
32 shares @ 63.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.38
$-0.63
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.75
$-1.25
- NO
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 54.2¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.98
$-3.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$52.93May 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.24May 15, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.59May 15, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UD Almería win on 2026-05-16?$20.47May 15, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$20.15May 15, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$20.99May 15, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.21May 14, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$40.46May 14, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$66.09May 14, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$20.15May 14, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$20.15May 14, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Spurs$25.64May 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$20.15May 14, 02:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$20.46May 13, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$20.57May 13, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$20.34May 13, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$20.40May 13, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$3.91May 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$18.10May 13, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $19.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".