Anchored-Leprosy
0xf71061cce6d1ab8aaef8f6928a4fdb5dfe15edc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$9.64
Realised
$97.96
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 59.2¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$806.25
$66.25
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.92
$6.42
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$42.30
$0.30
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
50 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$42.00
$1.00
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
103 shares @ 37.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$41.55
$3.59
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
587 shares @ 10.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$41.11
$-22.57
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
205 shares @ 23.4¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$39.93
$-7.92
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
50 shares @ 69.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$35.00
$0.50
- NO
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?
75 shares @ 4.9¢·now 41.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$31.39
$27.68
- NO
Will the furthest home run at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby travel 500+ Feet?
30 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$29.98
$8.09
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.86Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the furthest home run at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby travel 500+ Feet?$21.90Jul 13, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.40Jul 13, 23:31 UTC
- CONVERSIONFed Decision in July?$200.00Jul 13, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$119.46Jul 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$41.00Jul 13, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$9.14Jul 13, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$34.50Jul 13, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$128.00Jul 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$0.04Jul 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$12.24Jul 13, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$57.03Jul 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$60.00Jul 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$51.34Jul 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$118.40Jul 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$122.00Jul 13, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$122.14Jul 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.86Jul 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$7.50Jul 13, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $38.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 01:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.