Faithful-Fur
0xf726dcd69510ca1b66c6dadcc040a07389767e8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$556.42
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$264.80
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
500 shares @ 29.5¢·now 18.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.25
$-56.08
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
200 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$89.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
100 shares @ 26.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$82.50
$55.63
- YES
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$75.00
$-22.86
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
393 shares @ 23.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$72.67
$-19.16
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3800 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$70.30
$-16.18
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
200 shares @ 18.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$39.00
$3.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$15.50
$-1.50
- YES
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$11.70
$0.43
- YES
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.50
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$88.45Jun 24, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$11.80Jun 24, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$41.96Jun 24, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$19.77Jun 24, 14:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$18.90Jun 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$2.10Jun 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$37.18Jun 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$5.43Jun 17, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11.44Jun 17, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$38.03Jun 17, 11:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Weather Delay?$70.00Jun 15, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $28.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 14:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.