Wallet profile

Grandiose-Collectivization

0xf7429705e25b619338412967f0a70260b6e1e039

activity 100/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

100/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

27

Open notional

$27.4K

Total PnL

$5.1K

Realised

$999.58

Win rate

50%

6 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 27

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$56.3K

Trades

1

Buy share

45%

Window

Jun 27, 02:10 UTC → Jul 15, 20:05 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $5.2K

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

17/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

Thin resolved sample

Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.

PnL is mostly mark-to-market

Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.

Elevated mirror risk

Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

50% win rate over 6 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
review

47 live trades, 7 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$5.2K

1 trades

Buy share

45%

Sample

limited

7 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

$14.6K · 26% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev26% of recorded volume$14.6KWill United States win on 2026-07-06?20% of recorded volume$11.4KSpread: DR Congo (-1.5)12% of recorded volume$6.7K

Profile dimensions

Activity72 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence20 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry7 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk66 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
47
Avg trade size
$185.68
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 27, 08:34 UTC
Last active
Jul 28, 18:41 UTC
Win rate sample
6 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on PolymarketView on Polygonscan
updated 22:06:12 UTC·src:Polymarket Data