Simplistic-Cappelletti
0xf74c4ce24e05d329ae86dcb940dea3688c18434c
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$832.12
Total PnL
$39.73
Realised
$493.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
10456 shares @ 3.7¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$292.78
$-95.10
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
800 shares @ 26.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$288.00
$80.00
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
2117 shares @ 4.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$158.80
$56.90
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
4021 shares @ 5.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.36
$-134.47
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
4256 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$19.15
$-3.79
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
1750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.63
$-4.38
- YES
Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?
39 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.39
$0.16
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
7 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.01
$0.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
2498 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$106.63Jun 5, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$105.16Jun 5, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$103.57Jun 5, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$2.36Jun 5, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.90Jun 5, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.36Jun 5, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.38Jun 5, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.90Jun 5, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.36Jun 5, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$2.70Jun 5, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.24Jun 5, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.24Jun 5, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$3.89Jun 5, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.54Jun 5, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.90Jun 5, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$6.00Jun 5, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.50Jun 5, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$5.92Jun 5, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?$21.72Jun 3, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?$0.41Jun 3, 19:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $68.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 19:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".