Marvelous-Disposal
0xf74e1a676721eb54a93aa763c11e0aff5b36543c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$16.39
Total PnL
$-5.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
2 shares @ 87.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 88.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00Feb 11, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Feb 5, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 28, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Jan 22, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?$1.00Jan 5, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 24, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 18, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?$1.00Dec 9, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 27, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.00Nov 19, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Nov 12, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.00Nov 6, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.00Oct 29, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?$1.00Oct 22, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.00Oct 15, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMLinea airdrop in Q3 2025?$1.52Oct 8, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMXRP above $2.90 on August 22?$1.85Oct 8, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Oct 8, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.00Sep 24, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNoche UFC: Font vs. Martinez$1.00Sep 11, 05:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 05:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 11:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".