Accurate-Grandparent
0xf750df544adc59ee8b35517383defd5e04e16e5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$186.00
Total PnL
$71.38
Realised
$-0.16
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- UNDER
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$170.00
$168.00
- UNDER
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
7 shares @ 43.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.73
$0.73
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 10.8¢·now 12.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 17.8¢·now 19.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 10.8¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
23 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$20.56Jun 22, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$2.06Jun 22, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$5.09Jun 22, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$4.55Jun 22, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Belgium (-1.5)$2.44Jun 21, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBelgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$0.46Jun 21, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.13Jun 21, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$3.45Jun 21, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.04Jun 21, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.06Jun 21, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.04Jun 21, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$5.06Jun 21, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$3.03Jun 21, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBelgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5$1.88Jun 21, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBelgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5$0.92Jun 21, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$1.02Jun 21, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$4.85Jun 21, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$10.12Jun 21, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$2.03Jun 21, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$4.88Jun 21, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 02:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 03:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.