Trained-Competence
0xf79d08cca66246f260ea5aec617d85e2a19a4e37
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$2.36
Total PnL
$-163.38
Realised
$-9.95
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?
11 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.24
$-0.34
- NO
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 21.8¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.86
$0.52
- YES
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.18
$-0.92
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 29.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.07
$-0.40
- YES
Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 3 Switzerland?
833 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.83
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao?
712 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.98
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco?
447 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.03
- YES
Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 3 Scotland?
400 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.58
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
235 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.39
- YES
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Türkiye?
200 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.67
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$2.95Jul 7, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$1.41Jul 7, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?$0.96Jul 7, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYYouri Tielemans: 1+ goals$0.45Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYYouri Tielemans: 1+ goals$0.05Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$0.94Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYYouri Tielemans: 1+ goals$0.96Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$14.37Jul 6, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$1.69Jul 6, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$2.61Jul 6, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$1.27Jul 6, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-07-05?$2.45Jul 6, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-05?$1.06Jul 6, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$1.04Jul 6, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?$1.04Jul 4, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?$0.54Jul 4, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$1.00Jul 4, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?$1.05Jul 4, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-07-03?$1.08Jul 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$1.03Jul 3, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 06:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.