Insignificant-Bridge
0xf7a4c86fb69f72f66fb95c652f90ae4c04ccf061
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-406.05
Realised
$-11.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
170 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-91.50
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?
124 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
111 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-71.00
- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
107 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
103 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.36
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- TEAM FALCONS
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
71 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?
52 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?$10.22Jun 28, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$5.13Jun 28, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$15.22Jun 23, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$75.72Jun 15, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.51Jun 13, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 30?$200.58Jun 13, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$25.00Jun 1, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$25.00Jun 1, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$50.00Jun 1, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$296.68Jun 1, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$17.65Jun 1, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$320.00Mar 15, 14:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$169.89Mar 5, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$120.32Mar 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.02Mar 5, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $10.67Mar 5, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$17.33Mar 5, 09:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 5, 00:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 4, 00:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $53.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 08:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.