Authorized-Mankind
0xf7b3c3105c335a7c46c3ab85b1d47b5f7ed2ab43
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$199.22
Total PnL
$-272.94
Realised
$-6.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
211 shares @ 19.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.42
$28.42
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 28.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.75
$-21.25
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
573 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$48.40
$-8.76
- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.50
$-33.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
600 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.70
$-24.30
- YES
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.45
$-8.84
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1778 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
487 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-17.73
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
436 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.43
- YES
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
291 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.79
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$1.64May 24, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$3.54May 24, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.06May 24, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$8.55May 24, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$59.21May 16, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$3.30May 16, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$15.89May 16, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$15.46May 16, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$10.38May 16, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$15.83May 16, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$15.70May 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$10.00May 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.57May 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$7.36May 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$9.33May 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$40.00May 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.59May 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$72.02May 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$2.78May 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$30.00May 16, 05:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $17.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.