0xf7e40d2e62c4ae0fa2fcc011f49e5a61dbe1ebe5
0xf7e40d2e62c4ae0fa2fcc011f49e5a61dbe1ebe5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$7.47
Total PnL
$-0.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.63
$-0.38
- YES
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$1.00Mar 3, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.00Mar 3, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike nine or more countries in March?$1.00Mar 3, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00Mar 3, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Mar 3, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.00Mar 3, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 3, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Mar 3, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 06:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.