Thirsty-Optimization
0xf7f37190e7de4c6b7978b954c3cedeee67350805
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$24.21
Total PnL
$-8.02
Realised
$-2.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.31
$0.31
- NO
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.53
$0.53
- NO
Will James rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.12
$0.01
- NO
Will Oliver rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.60
$0.00
- NO
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Progressive Cities Parlay
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill James rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$391.64Nov 10, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$3.00Nov 8, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?$10.00Nov 8, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?$1.00Nov 8, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$396.30Nov 8, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$419.63Nov 8, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oliver rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$422.20Nov 8, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMDilan Yeşilgöz out as VVD leader before Netherlands election?$2.08Nov 8, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut in 2025?$2.38Nov 8, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMElections go right: October$2.38Nov 8, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$1.00Sep 23, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats 66 (D66) win 10% or more of votes in Netherlands election?$2.00Sep 23, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDilan Yeşilgöz out as VVD leader before Netherlands election?$2.00Sep 23, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYElections go right: October$2.00Sep 23, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYProgressive Cities Parlay$1.00Sep 23, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$1.40Sep 23, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax in 2025?$1.01Sep 23, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?$1.01Sep 23, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut in 2025?$2.00Jul 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?$1.00Jul 13, 08:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $45.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 03:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".