Live-Technologist
0xf80716d57bc79605bb224c3950d1198138c6b630
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$21.74
Total PnL
$0.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.08
$1.08
- YES
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.33
$0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 9, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?$1.00Jan 30, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 23, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 7, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Dec 28, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.00Dec 19, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$1.00Dec 12, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Dec 3, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$1.00Nov 24, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.00Nov 17, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by December meeting?$1.23Nov 7, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Beautiful" 3+ times during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?$1.45Nov 7, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?$1.64Nov 7, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 10 above $425?$1.00Nov 7, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Oct 31, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?$1.00Oct 24, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.00Oct 17, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.00Oct 13, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Sep 26, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?$1.00Sep 12, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 08:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.