Pastel-Guacamole
0xf8086d684f46e1e96f564c86c3faa535dfeb6e99
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$660.99
Total PnL
$-737.42
Realised
$145.96
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
761 shares @ 90.9¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$556.27
$-135.73
- YES
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$47.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 65.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.25
$0.75
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
20 shares @ 62.2¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$16.36
$3.92
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 18.3¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.05
$-2.25
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.87
$1.35
- YES
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
1 shares @ 2.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.86
$0.85
- YES
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.26
$-2.54
- YES
Will John Myrick win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
1 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.03
$0.01
- YES
Will Larry Hogan win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
1 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.02
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$55.08Jun 13, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.98Jun 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$39.55Jun 12, 11:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$28.28Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2.49Jun 11, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$4.63Jun 11, 12:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$12.44Jun 9, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $1B one day after launch?$12.81Jun 9, 10:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$19.98Jun 2, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $29.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 15:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.