Frilly-Garden
0xf8e0c5f9a0234ee114968f3ebb2ac44c674c1aff
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-837.76
Realised
$209.43
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 26?
2010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13?
1515 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.79
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1100 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-24.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
963 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-18.47
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
917 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-72.28
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3?
718 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 3?
675 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-29.65
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 1?
653 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 1?
642 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 3?
585 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?$18.39Apr 27, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?$11.39Apr 27, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?$7.84Apr 27, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?$1.14Apr 27, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?$11.00Apr 27, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?$5.00Apr 27, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$17.83Apr 27, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$12.96Apr 27, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$13.51Apr 27, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$2.18Apr 25, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$8.00Apr 25, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$10.60Apr 25, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$12.93Apr 25, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$9.61Apr 25, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$5.00Apr 25, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$10.00Apr 25, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$10.00Apr 25, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$28.69Apr 25, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$17.25Apr 24, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 24?$3.67Apr 24, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".