Watchful-Shrine
0xf8ee3fb3b6d2022f853e55679f5761fd8d9a2102
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$21.29
Total PnL
$-0.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
3 shares @ 60.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.31
$1.31
- YES
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?
1 shares @ 90.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?$1.00Feb 6, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Jan 29, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$1.00Jan 23, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$1.00Jan 6, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?$1.00Dec 26, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Dec 19, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 16?$1.00Dec 11, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Nov 28, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.00Nov 21, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 13, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Nov 7, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?$1.00Oct 30, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00Oct 24, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Oct 16, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Přísaha get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?$1.33Oct 10, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 10, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Sep 25, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?$1.00Sep 12, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?$1.00Sep 8, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Přísaha get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?$1.00Aug 29, 05:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 07:43 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 10:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.