Pale-Disregard
0xf8f7938670e2677eaaf4ce3726dc1c66558b93a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$157.05
Total PnL
$-88.06
Realised
$-5.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
75 shares @ 44.8¢·now 51.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$38.62
$5.02
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
85 shares @ 38.1¢·now 26.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$22.23
$-10.13
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
28 shares @ 86.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$21.04
$-2.71
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20 shares @ 82.5¢·now 86.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$17.27
$0.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 14?
30 shares @ 44.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$15.75
$2.55
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15 shares @ 64.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.75
$5.15
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 90.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.25
$0.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 14?
30 shares @ 36.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$8.70
$-2.10
- YES
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$4.15
$-0.30
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
15 shares @ 89.6¢·now 26.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.00
$-9.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 14?$13.57Jun 14, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 14?$11.14Jun 14, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 14?$0.15Jun 13, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 14?$1.42Jun 13, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12?$68.00Jun 13, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 12?$6.00Jun 13, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12?$27.16Jun 12, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12?$5.00Jun 12, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12?$4.97Jun 12, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12?$6.62Jun 12, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 12?$5.40Jun 12, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12?$1.65Jun 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12?$3.64Jun 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12?$7.23Jun 12, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12?$1.61Jun 12, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12?$2.80Jun 12, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11?$61.49Jun 12, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11?$4.30Jun 11, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11?$0.53Jun 11, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11?$6.21Jun 11, 17:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.