Long-Antennae
0xf920f4bcdf8bada013b2f8d99ec4701c9072665f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
764765 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.8K
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
338782 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
250000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
200000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
150000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
55033 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
50000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
38900 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-489.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
5133 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
4644 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-46.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prenga$258.18Jul 25, 19:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$8.36Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$720.99Jul 19, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$620.33Jul 19, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$91.50Jul 19, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.69Jul 19, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$923.50Jun 16, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.0KJun 16, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$1.8KMay 9, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$27.39May 7, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?$314.17Apr 29, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?$102.73Apr 29, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$100.00Apr 26, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$300.00Apr 26, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$50.00Apr 16, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$136.17Apr 16, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$50.00Apr 16, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$50.00Apr 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$152.36Apr 15, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $190.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 10:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 19:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.